Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 145.178472 168.091872 194.723869 228.279909 269.880938 320.364910 3.872052e+02
2025-05-25 114.336037 142.713746 179.269846 230.984219 304.266586 407.716812 5.713576e+02
2025-06-01 96.422476 126.247327 167.326471 230.206794 328.271968 483.590275 7.678666e+02
2025-06-08 83.535627 113.279356 156.342647 226.386748 344.327139 550.043231 9.789290e+02
2025-06-15 77.021324 107.907469 154.777126 235.629823 382.633614 666.264059 1.349776e+03
2025-06-22 67.616787 96.736820 142.296413 224.019431 380.607332 705.146864 1.577116e+03
2025-06-29 61.896625 90.445702 136.522891 222.591073 396.950468 787.841978 1.978768e+03
2025-07-06 57.287611 85.318359 131.853685 222.090862 414.780493 881.240687 2.499834e+03
2025-07-13 55.590518 84.703910 134.718135 236.287546 468.146801 1089.162031 3.678320e+03
2025-07-20 54.484955 84.909572 138.986622 254.089051 535.864684 1379.059544 5.759088e+03
2025-07-27 51.546433 81.586051 136.257495 256.559066 566.403105 1574.829077 7.858199e+03
2025-08-03 49.378674 79.401378 135.386863 262.927395 609.705033 1848.457021 1.146651e+04
2025-08-10 45.935759 74.852405 129.894615 259.070150 627.370251 2059.376499 1.591804e+04
2025-08-17 43.465296 71.915509 127.372320 262.142216 668.926503 2427.412742 2.559280e+04
2025-08-24 40.920885 68.572716 123.559928 261.221060 697.898693 2776.891580 4.051971e+04
2025-08-31 38.362557 64.959470 118.726102 256.711562 713.319664 3080.995008 6.253999e+04
2025-09-07 37.244944 64.053660 119.600766 267.629570 790.757292 3908.893256 1.528456e+05
2025-09-14 34.464357 59.591674 112.104380 253.919063 767.074722 3989.679622 2.097909e+05
2025-09-21 32.767633 57.190718 109.002820 252.234923 792.843749 4530.369010 4.563204e+05
2025-09-28 31.291758 55.121844 106.433550 251.645273 823.837073 5206.106089 1.312997e+06
2025-10-05 30.972842 55.415323 109.388698 268.407369 944.400532 7217.743224 5.833101e+07
2025-10-12 30.842714 56.089591 113.344068 289.502648 1104.445363 10662.985074 NaN
2025-10-19 29.761312 54.623063 111.863511 292.436254 1170.802938 13149.494421 NaN